Tag Archives: polling

Watch the Gamblers

In his book, The Wisdom of Crowds , James Surowiecki writes that betting markets, where gamblers are spending real money betting who will win an election, are oftern better predictors that polls. If that’s true, then Obama supporters should feel good … Continue reading

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Reluctant Republicans

More evidence for my theory of the Limbaugh effect–Republicans don’t want it known they are voting for Obama. The New York Times tried to figure out why anyone would still be undecided two days before the election. They interviewed Republican … Continue reading

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Race Tightening?

Even though some national tracking polls cited by the right wingers like Drudge, show some tightening, the large sampling Gallup Polls, shows a steady national 51-44 lead for Obama. But much more importantly, the state polls are all going Obama’s … Continue reading

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NBC/WSJ Poll

The reason this poll is so important is that Barack has broken over 50% (to 52%). Second, McCain’s main problem is he chose Sarah Palin, and there’s nothing he can do to change that. 55% of the voters think she’s … Continue reading

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Good Polls

As Gallup breaks to an 11 point Obama lead, it more important to know that the state polling breaks even stronger in Obama’s favor. The set of state polling that follows is so strong for Obama that he continues to … Continue reading

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Good Polls

As Gallup breaks to an 11 point Obama lead, it more important to know that the state polling breaks even stronger in Obama’s favor. The set of state polling that follows is so strong for Obama that he continues to … Continue reading

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Why McCain's Smears Might Backfire

Nate Silver points out that by unleashing the heavy negative attacks, McCain risks further damage to his already sinking favoribility ratings. What’s interesting is that, with the exception of the past couple of weeks, McCain’s and Obama’s ratings have been … Continue reading

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Economists Choose Obama

The Economist polled some of the world’s greatest economists about the presidential race. They overwhelmingly chose Obama. Thanks to Alex Bowles.

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Obama's Big Lead

FiveThirtyEight.com says that Obama can now win, even without the Battleground States (many of which he is leading). Today, Barack Obama has 269 electoral votes outside the battleground zone. That is, if you only give Obama the states he is … Continue reading

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Sarah Palin Freefall

Research 2000/Kos Poll

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