Failure Is An Orphan

Two weeks ago, I said that a profound split in the Republican Party would become apparent on November 5 if John McCain lost. Turns out the pros aren’t waiting for the death certificate to fight over the corpse.

With despair rising even among many of John McCain’s own advisors, influential Republicans inside and outside his campaign are engaged in an intense round of blame-casting and rear-covering—-much of it virtually conceding that an Election Day rout is likely.

A McCain interview published Thursday in the Washington Times sparked the latest and most nasty round of Washington finger-pointing, with senior GOP hands close to President Bush and top congressional aides denouncing the candidate for what they said was an unfocused message and poorly executed campaign.

What is emerging is a group of Palinistas gathered around Bill Kristol and The Weekly Standard and the two kings of Right Wing Radio–Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity. They believe the future of the Republican Party is in the way Palin can work up a crowd of The Base. Their theory is to return the early days of minority guerrila war when Newt Gingrich was a backbencher and Rush was just getting started. They will launch a permanent campaign against Obama in the same way they ran a permanent anti-Clinton operation.

The other group are what is left of The Right of Ideas–David Brooks, Peggy Noonan, Chris Hitchens, Bruce Bartlett, Chris Buckley, David Frum. They are horrified by Palin and have all publicly denounced her. Many of them have endorsed Obama. They believe the Republican Party has to change to deal with the glaring facts of the inequality of American Life in the 21st Century. (going to write a lot more about this report tomorrow).

Ideologically Brooks and Co. are supported by the business part of the Republican Party (U.S. Chamber of Commerce) that is throwing Millions into Senate Republican racesand wants nothing to do with the Brownshirt Palinistas. If McCain and Palin get blown out running such a hard right fear campaign, they will both be permanently damaged, and the true minority representation of the rednecks will be revealed.  But this won’t stop Limbaugh and Kristol from pushing her hard (run for Senator?) to the center of their cultural conservative party. The only question is–will it be the Republican Party or a new third party?

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0 Responses to Failure Is An Orphan

  1. Jon Munger says:

    After the smoke clears, the result will spell out how American history progresses for the next hundred years.
    Should the Palinists, we’ll call them, be shoved off to the side and Schwarzenegger-style RINOs take control of the party, expect the Limbaugh-ites to make a bit of sturm and drang for eight years, then go back into the apolitical closet from which they came when the Republicans fail to pander to their demographic. What will the new demographic be? I’m not sure. I have a suspicion the labor movement could be wooed away, but that’s pure conjecture.
    On the other hand, if the Palinists wrest control of the party from the intelligensias hands, the sophisticated infrastructure, political and corporate connections, and cynical manipulations give us a phenomenally dangerous and resilient party, who’ll likely lose quite a few elections but those they do win will be run like feudal domains. The latter option worries me.

  2. zestypete says:

    I predict that the Republicans, faced with an avalanche of support for Obama, will writhe and squirm and fuss amongst themselves for 18 months, and then – if they’re smart and if someone young enough, telegenic enough and middle class enough emerges as a possible contender for the White House – they’ll come to a truce over this schism, then “reinvent” themselves by moving to the middle and mirroring plans that have already been proposed or put in place by Obama, himself having drifted ever farther from the middle when faced with the pressures of the presidency.

    It’s just like the UK in 1997, when Blair came to power. He was the great hope, the one calling for change, and he moved steadily to the middle The country happily pushed the Old Guard out the door. Ten years later, after war and terror and an almost constant chipping away at civil liberties, Blair had shifted towards the right and left a mess behind him as a consequence, one that Gordon Brown is still trying to clean up. During that time, though the Tories got their act together, stopped fear mongering and moved steadfastly to the middle. And have closed the gap on Labour significantly.

    That’s what I predict, anyway.

  3. bigring55t says:

    I too would like to think that Palin would be permanently damaged by her disastrous run, but there is this strange noise in my head telling me otherwise. It sounds like “Nixon Nixon”, whatever that means. Whether she runs as a Republican or as a 3rd party, sadly, she is nowhere near done.

  4. zestypete says:

    I’m thinking Palin’s got a guaranteed guest spot on The View come December, then a talk show of her own by next year.

  5. VeryBadMan says:

    bigring55t I’m not sure that’s right. It looks to me as if she is going to have a hard time getting reelected in Alaska.

  6. VeryBadMan says:

    “I see her less as a variety-show host like Ellen (DeGeneres) and more of a single-topic host like Tyra (Banks), or maybe what Jenny Jones used to be,” said Chris Coelen, CEO of RDF USA, producer of “Wife Swap.”

    I wonder how they got hold of the producer of Wife Swap.

  7. billy-bob says:

    McOrphan and Adolph Palin.

    What a cluster-f**k!

  8. It’s a cluster f**k fractal. Search this site for that term to get the definition and the brilliant mind who came up with it.

  9. Dan says:

    If the GOP leadership decides to find some means of conciliation with a Democratic president, it will be the first time it’s happened in my remembrance. LBJ was Satan incarnate to the GOP. Carter was the guy who personally initiated recession and stagflation (never mind actual history). Clinton built black helicopters to enslave the white man. The GOP goal from the beginning of each of these administrations was nothing short of total destruction of the president, no matter what else happened. During the early years of the Reagan administration, you might have gained the impression that FDR forced millions of Americans into starvation on collective farms.

    I think 2010 will look a lot like 1994. Expect to hear Obama’s policies described as a “sick, pathetic, twisted, warped liberal agenda.” Expect to hear that Obama has been plotting with terrorists and America-haters since he was a toddler. Expect to hear that the 2008 election was stolen, was the biggest fraud in history, was bought and paid for. In total contrast, it goes without saying, to 2000 and 2004. Also expect to hear that American business is being strangled by socialist regulations.

    Unless there’s a sweeping change of the leadership of the party, I don’t expect them to change their tactics.

  10. Mason Dixon says:

    They just re-upped Bill O’Reilly to the tune of ten million a year. The propaganda of hate turbine is just getting itself tuned up for the rage-a-thon that will be a democratic president and majority congress. I’m filled with dread at that prospect. How to change it? There’s so much money in hate.

  11. Ken Ballweg says:

    Piss ’em off and reinstate the Fairness Doctrine.

    If that’s ancient history, look it up. It used to be the way to keep a Fox, or Rush from becoming unchallenged propaganda.

  12. Mason Dixon says:

    Agreed. I’m old enough to remember that one. One of the many things that must be restored.

  13. VeryBadMan says:

    (Still not feeding the rage.)

  14. Seth says:

    There would be some humor and irony in hearing Bill-O rant about how the “Fairness Doctrine” isn’t really “fair” — this from the “Fair and Balanced” network.

  15. Rick Turner says:

    I keep seeing that “Failure as an Orphan” as “Failure is an Option”. It certainly is here and now.

  16. fdeblauwe says:

    Ironic cartoon at the Reasons To Be Cheerful, Part 3 blog: “”

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